Fidelity Contrafund sours on Apple, bolsters Tesla bet

BOSTON | Wed Jul 31, 2013 2:27pm EDT
(Reuters) – Fidelity Contrafund (FCNTX.O) manager Will Danoff cut his stake in Apple Inc (AAPL.O) 28 percent during the first half of the year, citing the iPhone maker’s “slowing growth profile.”

The star stockpicker remained bullish on Google Inc (GOOG.O) and on Tesla Motors Inc’s (TSLA.O) “disruptive technology and superior business model,” according to his latest monthly commentary for investors.

Danoff remains Apple’s largest active shareholder, only passive index and exchange-traded funds have larger stakes. His Contrafund owned 8.3 million shares of Apple at the end of June valued at $3.3 billion, according to Thomson Reuters data. He owned nearly 11.6 million shares at the end of 2012.

“Reflective of the company’s slowing growth profile, Apple moved from the fund’s top position a year ago to the third spot as we reduced our stake in the company,” said Danoff, who runs the $94 billion Contrafund for Fidelity Investments in Boston.

Danoff has been trimming his stake in Apple since last year. Google has become his largest holding at 6 percent of net assets. Danoff said that in the second quarter he increased his position in electric car maker Tesla, “a firm we believed was fundamentally reengineering the automobile for the first time in decades.”

Meanwhile, Apple’s stock is off about 15 percent this year and its $452.50 price on Wednesday is well below the all-time high of $705.07 reached last September.

Apple’s plunge has hurt Danoff’s performance this year. Contrafund’s 2.05 percent return in the second quarter lagged the 2.91 percent advance on the benchmark S&P 500 Index.

But Danoff’s 15-year track record remains stellar. Over that span, Contrafund’s 7.35 percent annual return has beaten the benchmark S&P 500 Index by 3.11 percentage points each year.

Danoff reserved his most glowing remarks for Tesla. Contrafund owned $337 million worth of Tesla stock at the end of June after increasing its position 59 percent from the previous month, according to Thomson Reuters data.

Tesla’s shares have been on a rampage, soaring 387 percent over the past 12 months.

“We increased our position during the quarter, as we believed company’s disruptive technology and superior business model compared to industry peers may help it continue to grow at a fast pace for multiple years,” Danoff said in his commentary.

Dell’s buyout teeters as it rejects voting change

By Greg Roumeliotis
NEW YORK | Wed Jul 31, 2013 4:37pm EDT
(Reuters) – Michael Dell’s and Silver Lake’s $24.4 billion bid to take Dell Inc private suffered a blow on Wednesday after the company’s special committee rejected their request to change the voting rules in exchange for them offering $150 million more.

Dell shares fell more than 4 percent to as low as $12.28, their lowest level since news of the takeover broke on January 14, highlighting uncertainty among shareholders about the deal’s prospects. They closed down $1.6 percent at $12.66.

Michael Dell, who founded the eponymous company in 1984 from his college dorm-room, has been arguing since February that Dell needs to restructure as a private company to respond to the challenges posed to its computers by smart phones and tablets.

The special committee, set up by Dell’s board to assess whether shareholders were getting the best deal, refused on Wednesday to change the voting rules on the deal but said it would be willing to move the vote’s record date forward.

A person familiar with the matter later said Dell’s chief executive and Silver Lake expect their deal to collapse unless there is a change in how shareholder votes are counted.

At present, the buyout must be approved by a majority of all Dell shares, excluding the 15.7 percent stake held by Michael Dell and his affiliates. The buyout group last week raised its offer by 10 cents per share on the condition that the deal goes through if approved by a majority of the shares that are actually voted.

This followed two adjournments of shareholder meetings, on July 18 and July 24, after it became apparent the buyout group did not have enough votes supporting the deal.

The consortium estimated that in the latest tally, about 27 percent of Dell’s shares had not been voted and were therefore counted as “no” votes under the current voting standard.

Alex Mandl, the special committee’s chairman, wrote in a letter to the buyout group, “The committee is not prepared to accept your (voting rules) proposal. We are, however, willing to establish a new record date for a vote on a $13.75 per share transaction under the existing voting standard.”

The record date determines which Dell shareholders are entitled to vote on the deal. A second person familiar with the matter said the special committee would be willing to push the record date to August 10 for the vote to be held on September 10.

MOVING THE RECORD DATE

A shareholder meeting to vote under the current system on Michael Dell’s and Silver Lake’s original offer of $13.65 per share is scheduled for Friday.

“I would prefer to see an up or down vote than to see this be dragged out. I won’t try to predict what will happen on Friday because they are so unpredictable,” said Gautam Dhingra, chief executive of High Pointe Capital Management LLC, one of the several small Dell shareholders that oppose the deal at $13.75 per share.

The first source familiar with the matter said the buyout consortium believes that changing the record date is not good enough. Unless the voting standard changes, this is the end of the road for the deal, the source said.

The current record date is June 3 and market experts believe moving it forward benefits Michael Dell and Silver Lake because it gives them the backing of hedge funds that have bought Dell’s stock more recently with a view to earning just a few cents per share when the deal goes through.

It is however far from clear that the support of such investors would compensate for not changing the voting system.

“The question with moving the record date of course is, are there going to be enough votes for them to meet the threshold,” said Andy Levine, a mergers and acquisitions lawyer at Jones Day.

Activist investor Carl Icahn, who has amassed an 8.7 percent stake in Dell and is leading a charge with Southeastern Asset Management Inc against the buyout with an offer of their own, wrote in a letter to Dell shareholders on Wednesday it was time “to let the proposed freeze-out merger die”.

“Take the vote on Friday. Be at peace with the outcome. Immediately set the record date for the annual meeting and give stockholders the choice they deserve after all these months of uncertainty,” Icahn and Southeastern wrote.

If the record date is reset and Friday’s vote is postponed once again, then the annual meeting of shareholders should be held on the same date as the vote so that Dell shareholders are offered an alternative option, the two investors wrote.

If the buyout is rejected, Dell’s board should prevent Michael Dell from increasing his stake in the company and therefore strengthen his hand in a proxy fight, they added.

As solar panels pile up, China takes axe to polysilicon producers

By Charlie Zhu
HONG KONG | Wed Jul 31, 2013 5:07pm EDT
(Reuters) – Three quarters of China’s solar-grade polysilicon producers face closure as Beijing looks to overhaul a bloated and inefficient industry, resulting in fewer but better companies to compete against Germany’s Wacker Chemie AG and South Korea’s OCI Co Ltd.

The polysilicon sector, which has around 40 companies employing 30,000 people and has received investment of 100 billion yuan ($16 billion), suffers from low quality and chronic over-capacity as local governments poured in money to feed a fast-growing solar panel industry, for which polysilicon is a key feedstock.

Demand for solar panels has eased since the global financial crisis, forcing governments worldwide to slash solar power subsidies, and leaving China sitting on idle capacity and mounting losses. To help prop up the solar industry, Beijing plans to more than quadruple solar power generating capacity to 35 gigawatts (GW) by 2015 to use up some of the huge domestic panel glut. It has also said it will accelerate technological upgrades in polysilicon to weed out inefficient producers and “nurture a batch of internationally competitive producers.”

People in the polysilicon industry say the moves will halve China’s production capacity to 100,000 metric tons (110231 tons) a year, leaving around 10 relatively strong firms with better technology and cost efficiency.

“Most producers will be eliminated rather than acquired. This may sound cruel, but is the reality as they are technologically uncompetitive,” Lu Jinbiao, a senior official at China’s top polysilicon producer GCL-Poly Energy, told Reuters.

The challenges mirror those faced by much of China’s manufacturing sector, from cement and steel to shipbuilding – local governments chasing jobs and economic growth over-invested in often high-cost, low-tech capacity in the mid-2000s when demand for solar panels was booming. That boom is now over.

“Large amounts of ineffective, high-cost production capacity will exit the market,” said Ma Haitian, deputy secretary general of the Silicon Industry of China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, a Beijing-based industry lobby.

PRICE SLUMP

As smaller polysilicon producers, with average annual capacity of a few thousand metric tons, are pushed out, the likely winners will be larger producers such as GCL Poly, TBEA Co Ltd, China Silicon Corp and Daqo New Energy Corp. The shake-out is already underway as polysilicon prices have plunged to below $20 per kg from a 2008 peak of almost $400, forcing some producers in the northwestern province of Ningxia and eastern China’s Zhejiang province to file for bankruptcy.

Their plight is made worse by cheaper, and better quality, imports from producers such as MEMC Pasadena Inc and Michigan-based Hemlock Semiconductor Group – a venture of Dow Corning, Shin-Etsu Handotai and Mitsubishi Materials Corp – and Norway’s Renewable Energy.

Of the 69,000 metric tons of solar-grade polysilicon China consumed in January-June, 41,000 metric tons were imported, according to industry data. China’s solar panel makers prefer imported polysilicon, which has a higher purity that helps in energy conversion, company executives say.

Foreign polysilicon producers can break even at prices of around $20/kg, while break-even for Chinese firms with capacity of 10,000 metric tons or more is $20-$25, say industry specialists, who noted that most smaller Chinese producers had begun to lose money when prices slipped to $30-$40.

“Restructuring is a must. Most Chinese polysilicon enterprises will disappear and only about 10 will survive,” said Glenn Gu, senior solar analyst at consultant IHS in Shanghai.

NEW DAWN?

In an apparent bid to protect its domestic industry, Beijing this month imposed preliminary anti-dumping duties on U.S. and South Korean polysilicon imports, [ID:nL4N0FV1QI] but has yet to decide whether to do the same for European suppliers like Wacker Chemie. Analysts said that idea could be dropped after China and the European Union struck a solar panel trade deal last weekend. [ID:nL6N0FX04U]

“Such a settlement could mark the start of another global photovoltaics (solar technology) upturn,” Wacker Chemie said in announcing better-than-expected quarterly earnings on Tuesday, [ID:nL6N0G00GD] adding polysilicon prices may have bottomed.

Many of China’s leading solar cell and module manufacturers – such as LDK Solar Co Ltd, Yingli Green Energy Holding Co Ltd, Suntech Power Holdings Co Ltd and JA Solar Holdings Co Ltd – are sitting on long-term take-or-pay contracts with foreign polysilicon producers, under which they import set amounts at fixed prices of around $40-$50/kg, people in the industry said.

By some estimates, 30 percent of the $2.1 billion worth of polysilicon that China imported last year came from those contracts. Those deals looked good before the financial crisis, and some Chinese panel makers – who regularly mix imported polysilicon with local materials to control costs – also invested in their own polysilicon production.

Much of that investment has since been written off.

Device puffs virtual objects into reality, lets you feel phantom objects floating in air

Smarter America
Discovery News, Nic Halverson

For all the leaps and bounds that motion tracking and virtual reality have made in recent years, haptic stimulation has largely taken a back seat to visual stimulation. However, a new device aims to put a more tangible virtual experience in the driver’s seat.
Developed by Rajinder Sodhi from the University of Illinois and Ivan Poupyrev from Disney Research, Aireal is a series of small machines that pufff air rings towards users, allowing them to feel objects and textures while engaging with virtual content.
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Aireal consists of five speaker-like modules — connected to a virtual reality system, computer, television — that can be positioned all around the user. The devices track body movements, then shoot low frequencies through an air nozzle to create vortices in the shape of small smoke rings.
“The sensation is quite pleasant,” Poupyrev told Fast Co.Design. “It’s not like air blowing onto your body. The air ring is a traveling low-pressure bubble. When it collapses, the air from outside rushes in, and it creates force at this particular point. It’s very localized, sharp puff of air.”
In theory, Aireal could be used to create more enhanced environments, whether the machine is used in tandem with virtual reality systems, gaming systems or while simply watching a video. By pulsing its air bubbles, the device can mimic water, wind and other textures. For example, Aireal could provide the sensation of swimming through bubbles if supplemented with a virtual reality experience. Same goes for watching a video of a flock of seagulls flying by — the user would be able to feel the wing flaps.
The developers have acknowledged a couple technical hiccups, though. The haptic machines make a small noise, like a low pitch knock, and there is a slight 150-millisecond delay between onscreen actions and air bubbles. While developers are ironing out the kinks, in the meantime, they’ve managed to incorporate the delay into the experience.
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“The demo we’re doing is very simple. You have a table display with a projection from the bottom. There’s a butterfly that flies around this table. You touch the butterfly, it’s projected on your hand and you can see a butterfly flapping its wings,” Poupyrev said. “If you think about trying to pick up a butterfly, you have to move very slowly. So inherently, people move slowly. In this interaction, the delay isn’t unnatural. It’s part of the story.”

Investors Cheer as Facebook Approaches May 2012 IPO Price

By Jennifer BootonPublished July 25, 2013FOXBusiness
Facebook (FB) experienced its largest-ever rally on Thursday on the heels of much stronger-than-expected earnings as the world’s largest social network capitalized on its rapidly expanding mobile platform and growing advertising revenues.
Shares of the Menlo Park, Calif.-based tech giant operated by Mark Zuckerberg closed up 30%, or $7.84 a share, on Thursday afternoon to a 52-week high of $34.36, bringing the stock closer than ever to its May 2012 IPO price of $38.
With volume surpassing 364 million, Thursday was the heaviest day of Facebook trading since its much criticized IPO, where 581 million shares changed hands.
Leading the gains was its surprising earnings beat in the second quarter, which triggered a slew of price target increases and a few upgrades on Thursday. Evercore (EVR), which upped Facebook’s rating to “overweight,” pointed to its better-than-expected 53% rise in sales.
Investors cheered Facebook’s robust advertising revenue as ad pricing increased 40% in the U.S., a reflection of simpler ad offerings, which Facebook earlier this year pledged to streamline. It also saw stronger market demand for its popular News Feed targeted ads as local advertisers ramped up their spending. Overall, ad revenues grew 61% year-over-year, beating the consensus view of 40%, while mobile ad revenue expanded to 41% of total ad sales.
“The fact that the beat was driven entirely by advertising revenue makes the outperformance even more compelling,” Goldman Sachs (GS) analyst Heather Bellini said in a note. Goldman raised its price target to $46 from $40 and reiterated its “buy’ rating on the stock.
Evercore analyst Ken Sena said the underlying metrics support the view that a positive ad pricing inflection occurred during the quarter, pointing to “further upside” for Facebook shares. The social network sees those numbers improving through the remainder of the year.
Video: Cha-Ching
While challenges linger, notably whether Facebook will be able to maintain the rapid growth of its ad revenue, video, which it introduced in the second quarter through Instagram, represents a potential untapped sweet spot.
Facebook made just one mention of the new Instagram Video service in its earnings report released late Wednesday, reiterating that it saw 5 million video uploads in the first 24 hours of the launch.
However, Spruce Media CEO Rob Jewell said the social network continues to shop around an ad offering that some reports have pegged at as high as $1 million a spot.
“They are very large spots – several hundred thousand up to a million,” he said, citing talks with ad agencies. Facebook has not confirmed that it is shopping around an ad offering for video and would not comment on Wednesday.
Jewell said talks with agencies seem to indicate that Facebook is serious about pushing the offering out. He also said the high price makes sense, as it represents the first equivalent to primetime television ever offered online given Facebook’s massive monthly active user base of 1.5 billion.
“For the first time these agencies used to buying these spots on prime time TV can easily reach that [same audience level] on Facebook,” Jewell said.
Answering a request for comment about video, Facebook pointed to its Instagram for Business blog, where it boasts a series of posts about how businesses are using its service, including at a recent concert that celebrated the 25th anniversary of Essence Magazine.
Instagram also this month began allowing users to embed videos to other platforms online, however both services for now remain free and ad-free for users.
The Bottom Line
Ultimately, Facebook is looking to drive as many ad dollars as possible without losing users.
“The first challenge is to find a way to get people to click on the ads, but ultimately those clicks need to run into revenue,” said Marc Poirier, co-founder of Acquisio.
Customer data from Spruce Media, an ad manager for the Facebook platform, shows a decline in click-through rates (CTR) in the second quarter, or the percentage of clicks advertisers receive per total ad impressions. CTR slumped 30% in three out of four ad placements, while engagement rates across “likes,” “comments” and “shares” declined by an average 47%.
The untapped video market, Jewell said, would be a game changer.

New Hydrogen-Making Method Could Give a Boost to Fuel-Cell Vehicles

The chemical company BASF has found a greener way to make hydrogen, reviving hopes for fuel-cell vehicles.
By Kevin Bullis
Hydrogen-powered vehicles have been pitched as a greener alternative to gas-powered vehicles, but one problem with this is that the hydrogen is typically produced from a fossil fuel—natural gas—in a process that releases a lot of carbon dioxide.

BASF, the world’s largest chemical company, may have a solution. It’s developing a process that could cut those emissions in half, making hydrogen fuel-cell vehicles significantly cleaner than electric vehicles in most locations (the environmental benefits of electric cars vary depending on how the electricity is generated). Beyond providing a cleaner source of hydrogen for fuel-cell vehicles, the process could also help clean up industrial processes, like oil refining, that use large amounts of hydrogen.
BASF is working on a pilot plant to demonstrate the technology as part of a $30 million project partially financed by the German government. A second part of the project will demonstrate a new way to use carbon dioxide emissions as a raw material for chemicals and fuels, by combining them with the hydrogen produced in BASF’s low-carbon emissions process.

Taken together, the systems could create new markets for natural gas, especially in the United States, where fracking has led to a boom in production. A cleaner form of hydrogen could also revive stronger interest in fuel-cell vehicles. A handful of automakers have plans to start selling fuel-cell vehicles as early as 2015 (see “Why Toyota and GM Are Pushing Fuel-Cell Cars to Market”). Conventional hydrogen production involves reacting methane—the main ingredient of natural gas—with oxygen or water. This reaction produces hydrogen gas and, as the carbon reacts with oxygen, carbon dioxide.

Researchers have known for a long time that it’s possible to form hydrogen without introducing oxygen, avoiding carbon dioxide production. At high-enough temperatures, methane forms hydrogen and solid carbon. (The carbon can be used in industrial processes, such as making steel.) But this approach hasn’t proved economical.

That’s partly because generating high temperatures requires a lot of energy, and producing that energy usually involves carbon dioxide emissions, which would offset much of the potential environmental benefit. BASF has found better ways to recycle heat within its system, greatly decreasing the amount of energy needed. “The hydrogen production will be cost-competitive, while at the same time having the added advantage of having a reduced carbon footprint,” says Andreas Bode, the BASF project coordinator.

BASF is working with ThyssenKrupp Steel to use the carbon produced in the process in steel manufacturing.

The second part of the project is using the hydrogen to make useful products from carbon dioxide. In the presence of novel catalysts developed by BASF, hydrogen and carbon dioxide form syngas, a mixture of mostly carbon monoxide and hydrogen. Syngas is used to make methanol and other chemicals and fuels. Using hydrogen produced in a way that produces relatively little carbon dioxide helps keep overall emissions low. The basic reaction has been known for some time, but BASF thinks its new catalysts—the details of which it is keeping to itself—can make it economical. “It’s really a breakthrough,” Bode says.

Though finding such uses for carbon dioxide will do little to dent overall greenhouse gas emissions, the process could be important because it could allow chemical producers to use alternatives to petroleum.

The Internet’s Innovation Hub

GitHub has created a social network where programmers get together and get work done without bosses, e-mails, or meetings.
By Tom Simonite
San Francisco startup GitHub has all the hallmarks of the next big social network. The company’s base of 3.6 million users is growing fast, and after raising $100 million last year, GitHub was worth $750 million, at least on paper.

Yet GitHub is not a place for socializing and sharing photos. It’s a site where software developers store, share, and update their personal coding projects, in computer languages like Java and Python.

“It’s a social network, but it’s different from the others because it’s built around creating valuable things,” says GitHub CEO Tom Preston-Werner, whose company has been called “Facebook for geeks.”

GitHub’s mix of practicality and sociability have made it into a hub for software innovation. People log on from around the globe (78 percent of its users from outside the U.S.) to test and tinker with new ideas for mobile apps or Web server software. For Ethan Mollick, an assistant professor at the Wharton School, GitHub is one of a new class of technology platforms, including the crowdfunding site Kickstarter, that allow innovation without the traditional constraints of geography or of established hierarchies. “Virtual communities have more influence on reality now,” he says.

What all this could mean for software hubs like Washington, D.C., and Silicon Valley isn’t yet clear. Certainly, in the post-GitHub world you no longer have to frequent the right coffee shops and parties in the Bay Area to make a name as a talented coder. Companies get founded on the site, and it’s a favorite hunting ground for recruiters as well.
The features of GitHub’s service and community that have driven its popularity could appear opaque to non-coders. The guiding principle is that any and all possible barriers to one person contributing to someone else’s project must be stripped away. That means avoiding e-mail and conventional management. “That idea of not having to ask permission to be involved in something is really big,” says Preston-Werner.

Preston-Werner says GitHub, launched in 2008, has been profitable, and signs up around 10,000 new users every day. The newest feature of its business model is to rent out a version to companies they can use internally. In Marissa Mayer’s first company-wide memo after becoming CEO of Yahoo last year, she listed GitHub as one of the ways she intended to fix her company’s stifling bureaucracy.

GitHub’s most important feature is the pull request. It allows a person to suggest a modification to the code of someone else’s project, and shows that suggestion to the project’s owner in a way that makes it easy for them to review the changes. A single mouse click can merge them into the project or start a discussion about the changes. If a person’s pull request doesn’t stick, they can “fork” the project to create a parallel version on GitHub with their idea included.
GitHub’s only physical location is an office in San Francisco where about one-third of its 176 employees work (the rest work from their homes, coffee shops, or rented desks in the U.S. or overseas). No one at the company has set working hours. Some show up at noon and work into the night, others arrive close to dawn and disappear by midafternoon. Only Preston-Werner, as CEO, has a formal job title. Everyone else uses generic or frequently changing descriptors such as “Bad Guy Catcher” or “Señor Open Sorcerer.”

GitHub now plays a major supporting role in the creation of widely used open-source software, and the company uses it to maintain and expand its own service as well. Although Preston-Werner may set the overall goal of such projects, details of how it will be achieved are left to his workforce. Teams of GitHub workers form on an ad-hoc basis, growing, shrinking, and melting away as the company’s needs change and people find new things to work on.

Meetings are seen as a tragic waste of time, and thanks to the pull request, fewer are needed. “I don’t think we’ll ever have to hire managers,” says Preston-Werner.

Preston-Werner hopes his philosophy will spread and that more kinds of work will happen on GitHub. The platform already has features targeted at designers working on images. Some journalists, academics, and even the White House are also experimenting with GitHub to collaborate on articles and write research and policy documents. “Software is where we’re starting, but the vision can encompass a much broader scope than that,” says Preston-Werner.

An Armband Promises a Simpler Route to Gesture Control

Can an armband that controls gestures by measuring muscle activity make it as a mainstream gadget?
By Rachel Metz on July 26, 2013
When it comes to gesture-control systems like Microsoft’s Kinect, some applications—like gaming—are obvious. Others—like controlling your window blinds—are less so.

Yet that’s the kind of functionality Waterloo, Ontario-based startup Thalmic Labs is hoping will be possible with its first product, an armband called Myo that’s slated to start shipping late this year to some of the company’s earliest customers.

Gesture control has come a long way since Microsoft released the Kinect in 2010—the first truly mass-market gesture-control system. With Myo (pronounced “my-oh”), Thalmic Labs hopes a slew of recently enlisted developers will take things even further by building apps enabling the device to do everything from controlling virtual-reality systems to musical instruments (these ideas, plus the aforementioned hands-free window-blind control, were suggested by developers keen to get their hands on the device).

Myo stands out in a sea of gesture-control technologies, many of which rely on cameras or require bulky hardware to recognize your gestures and translate them into actions on a display. In addition to taking up space, such systems may need to be calibrated or require a certain amount of light to operate—all factors that can limit where and how you can use them (see “Look Before You Leap Motion”). And it’s still unknown how much consumers want to toss their computer mice, keyboards, and touch screens for gesture control.

Since the Myo armband interprets the electrical impulses generated by muscle movements in your forearm, it needs neither light nor a camera to operate. This, coupled with its relatively small size, could make it easier to use in darkened rooms or bright sunlight, and may offer neat mobile applications such as allowing it to control features on a smart watch.

Myo can tell the difference between different finger movements and sense hand rotations and movements by measuring the different electrical-impulse patterns that your movements generate and by using an inertial sensor to understand movements. With the band on your arm, you can do things like mimic shooting a gun to control a firearm in a video game, or swipe a hand to move through slides in a presentation. This information is sent to a processor in the armband, and an algorithm translates it into commands, which are sent via low-power Bluetooth to the gadget you’re trying to control, such as a smartphone.

Stephen Lake, a Thalmic Labs cofounder and its CEO, says the idea for Myo grew out of an unrelated project that he and fellow cofounder Matthew Bailey worked on as undergrads in the University of Waterloo’s mechatronics engineering program: a wearable assistive device for the blind that used a laser to scan for obstacles and translated that into tactile feedback. This got them thinking about how wearable devices may be the next big form factor in computing, and how they could be used to better interact with electronics. Last May, a week after graduation, Lake, Bailey, and their third cofounder (and fellow University of Waterloo mechatronics engineering student), Aaron Grant, moved into the office of Thalmic Labs.

Lake is careful not to narrow down the kinds of applications he’s hoping people will make for Myo—he says the company wants to “leave that creativity up to developers.” He mentions that Thalmic Labs has received a lot of interest from developers who are interested in paying the $149 to get their hands on the device before the general public (over 1,000 applications were submitted in the first 24 hours that signups were available), with suggested applications ranging from controlling musical instruments to operating window blinds. Eventually, Lake says, there will be a Myo directory where developers can list their apps.

The company is also interested in having its armband work with as many gadgets as possible. So far, Myo has been set up with devices including an iPhone, iPad, Mac and Windows computers, the Raspberry Pi computer, and a Parrot AR.Drone, as well as “a couple other industrial devices that I can’t really get much into,” Lake says. Thalmic Labs is also exploring how Myo can work with virtual-reality headset Oculus Rift and with Google’s head-mounted computer, Google Glass.

Despite not being on the market yet, Myo has taken off with consumers and investors: more than 30,000 people have preordered the device, which is slated to arrive early next year (at $149 apiece, that means Thalmic Labs will rake in at least $4.5 million in revenue when Myo starts shipping), and last month the company announced a $14.5 million series A funding round led by Intel Capital and Spark Capital.
All the positive attention could backfire, though, if Myo doesn’t work as well as it seems to in demo videos (one of which includes the tagline “effortless interaction”). Competitor Leap Motion, which uses a different kind of technology for its recently released gesture-control device, is facing this problem now, as its gadget has received lackluster reviews, including from MIT Technology Review.

There’s also the possibility that, beyond some obvious consumer applications like gaming, Myo will languish in relative obscurity. Gartner analyst Adib Ghubril says that while the device should be able to work well outdoors—useful for, say, controlling an unmanned aircraft—he expects Myo to be a niche device with few applications beyond gaming and the military.

“It’s not the next Google. It’s not like, ‘Oh my God, we’re all going with a Myo,’ ” he says.

Google Launches a Dongle to Bring Online Video to TV

Phones, tablets, and PCs can play online video on a TV set using Google’s cheap Chromecast device.
By Tom Simonite on July 24, 2013

Google launched a two-inch-long device costing $35 at an event in San Francisco today. The device is meant to bring the 200 billion videos watched online each month to regular TV sets. Called the Chromecast, the device resembles a regular USB thumb drive, but plugs into a television’s HDMI port and connects to a home Wi-Fi connection.

Once a Chromecast device has been installed and connected, it is possible to control it using Google’s YouTube app or an online player on an Android or Apple smartphone or tablet, or with a laptop, as long as that device is on the same Wi-Fi network. The Chromecast device then fetches video content from the Internet itself. Through the Chromecast it is possible to turn on a TV, change the volume, pause, skip, and play content.

Other content providers have jumped on board with the effort. Netflix has already integrated the functionality into its Android app, and the music-streaming service Pandora will soon also work with the Chromecast. The device went on sale today in the U.S. and is available from Amazon, Best Buy, and through Google’s Play store.

“Everyone loves their phone, tablets, laptops. Why not make them just work with your TV?” asked Mario Queiroz, the Google vice president who announced the Chromecast on stage. “Your personal device should be your remote.”

Queiroz stressed that any device—whether or not it was made by Google or is running the company’s software—can work with a Chromecast. “We will not force you to have the same operating system on all your devices.” He demonstrated how the YouTube app for iPhone could be used to send content to a TV with a Chromecast plugged in, and said any laptop using a Web video player with Chromecast enabled would be able to use the device.

Queiroz said more content announcements are on the way. “Our goal is to partner to create an ecosystem of apps as well as devices,” he said, claiming that developers of mobile and Web apps would need to make only minor changes to their existing apps to make them compatible.

Queiroz also hinted that the technology inside the Chromecast might soon appear inside other products. Adding the technology to television sets might make sense for both Google and TV manufacturers. “This is the first instantiation of Googlecast; over time we expect the functionality to be embedded in a range of devices,” said Queiroz.
The head of Google’s Chrome and Android projects, Sundar Pichai, said today that only 15 percent of U.S. households currently watch any online video on their TV sets.

No one from Google mentioned it today, but the Chromecast is Google’s second attempt at launching hardware to get more people watching online content on TVs, which are more usually served by broadcast and cable networks. In late 2010, Google worked with electronics manufacturers to launch set-top boxes branded as “Google TV” devices that could play YouTube and other Web content on TVs. However, the devices received poor reviews and sold only in limited numbers.

Internet companies, stung by earnings, still look pricey

By Ryan Vlastelica
Expedia Inc can send people to destinations around the world, but it can’t send investors back in time so they can avoid the stock’s massive selloff on Friday.

The stock’s 25 percent fall is its worst in seven years, becoming the latest in what is shaping up as a rough quarter for Internet company earnings. Expedia, Netflix and Google were hit hard after reporting earnings in the last two weeks.

Investors have chased this group higher in 2013, lured by expanding user bases and profit growth that eclipsed the broader market. But that has raised concern among analysts who see the sector as a whole as overvalued and ripe for a sell-off.

That appears to be what befell Expedia on Friday, as it suffered its biggest one-day loss since May 2006 after its results fell short of expectations.

“I don’t see any Internet stock that looks like a value,” said Kim Forest, senior equity research analyst at Fort Pitt Capital Group in Pittsburgh. “I’m a fan of them as a customer, but wouldn’t pay anywhere near the multiple we’re seeing for them.”

One measure of the valuation of these companies, intrinsic value as calculated by StarMine, a Thomson Reuters company, shows that of the 55 or so industries among the top 1,000 U.S. companies, Internet and catalog retailers are the most overvalued, and Internet software and services companies are the seventh-most overvalued.

Intrinsic value evaluates a stock based on projected growth over the next decade, using a combination of analyst forecasts and industry growth expectations.

The most overvalued name in the S&P 500 is Amazon.com Inc, which has climbed more than 20 percent this year to $309 a share and has a mammoth P/E ratio of 133.72. The online retailer’s price is 681 percent greater than its intrinsic value of $38.85.

Late Thursday, Amazon reported it had unexpectedly swung to a quarterly loss and gave a third-quarter outlook that was below forecasts. But despite the disappointment and elevated levels, its shares were up 2.8 percent on Friday.

“It is really looking down the line for other areas of profitability, and that could represent a positive play in the future,” said Chris Hobart, chief executive of Hobart Financial Group in Charlotte, North Carolina. “I’d be a buyer of it right now, but cautiously.”

That Amazon rose after its results “shows that investors are willing to just shrug off the negativity,” said Ryan Detrick, senior technical strategist at Schaeffer’s Investment Research in Cincinnati, Ohio, adding that options activity before the earnings suggested investors had not been bearish on the company before the news.

To justify its current price, Amazon would need to grow earnings 44 percent on a compound basis each year for the next 10 years, according to StarMine.

Shares of Netflix Inc are up 160 percent so far this year as investors bet the online movie renter’s expansion into original content will lead to strong subscriber gains. While earnings topped expectations earlier this week, its additions were in the middle of a range it forecast in April.

Netflix shares would need to drop 82 percent to reach its intrinsic value. Since hitting a new high on July 18, the stock has since been beaten down, falling nearly 10 percent.

Salesforce.com, meanwhile, is 83 percent above its intrinsic value. The maker of online sales software reports results next month.

Google Inc, another investor favorite this year, with gains of 25 percent, also saw a pullback after its results were issued last week, coming in below expectation despite a 20-percent jump in its core business revenue.

Almost all Internet stocks have high valuations. Netflix has a 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio of 92.9, while Salesforce.com Inc’s is even higher at 100.5. The average stock in the S&P 500 has a P/E ratio of 14.6, according to Thomson Reuters data.

THE FACEBOOK EXCEPTION

While Facebook’s P/E ratio of 40.69 is more than twice the 18.57 ratio of its social media peers, it differs from other online companies in that it has traded fairly flat for most of this year.

After its highly anticipated initial public offering in 2012, the stock has been unable to regain its $38-per-share IPO price, as investors questioned whether it would be able to monetize its massive user base and mobile usage.

When its July 24 results indicated it was making progress in those areas, buyers jumped on the stock, pushing it up about 30 percent in its biggest-ever daily increase.

“Facebook is doing a good job on the innovation front, going from a weak area – mobile advertising – to creating something pretty damn powerful,” said Hobart.

Based on its Thursday close, Facebook is more than twice what StarMine indicates is its intrinsic value.

“The results justify the valuation, but with it at these levels there are other companies I would look at first,” said Hobart.

(Reporting by Ryan Vlastelica; Additional reporting by Angela Moon; Editing by Tim Dobbyn)